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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 22 July 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 22 July 2021. FC Edmonton vs HFX Wanderers FC sits top on 57% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 37%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies four of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
FC Edmonton
1 : 0 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 38%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ FC Edmonton Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
2 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 68%
#3 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
2 : 0 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 27%
Draw 40%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
Win 27%
βœ“ Draw 40%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 58%
#5 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
4 : 2 FT
Atlético Ottawa
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#6 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
Win 36%
Draw 38%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 3 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 21%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 7 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 22 July 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Edmonton vs HFX Wanderers FC at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.