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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 12 December 2020

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 12 December 2020. The strongest reading belongs to FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Köln at 35% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 35% down to 13%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies six of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 22%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 5 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 36%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%

Showing top 6 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 12 December 2020?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Köln at 35% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.