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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 4 May 2025

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 4 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF at 69% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 48%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway 69%
Viking
0 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 66%
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 48%
Draw 21%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy 61%
Cremonese
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 57%
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 2 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Premier League Β· England 56%
Brighton
1 : 1 FT
Newcastle
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain 56%
Real Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany 54%
SC Freiburg
2 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway 54%
Tromso
0 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway 53%
Molde
2 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Premier League Β· England 53%
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 53%
Al Ain
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Austria 52%
Rapid Vienna
0 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria 52%
FC BW Linz
0 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia 51%
Khimki
1 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy 51%
Salernitana
2 : 0 FT
Mantova
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 51%
Mjallby AIF
1 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 49%
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway 48%
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#19 Premier League Β· England 48%
Chelsea
3 : 1 FT
Liverpool
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France 48%
Lyon
1 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 4 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF at 69% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.