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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Saturday 17 December 2022

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Saturday 17 December 2022. Standard Liège II vs Lommel United led the list at 63% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 18%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 63%
Standard Liège II
0 : 3 FT
Lommel United
Win 23%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 League One Β· England 55%
Charlton
1 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Championship Β· England 52%
Burnley
3 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 League One Β· England 49%
Wycombe
1 : 0 FT
Ipswich
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 League One Β· England 48%
Barnsley
2 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy 48%
Reggina
0 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 League One Β· England 45%
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 League One Β· England 42%
Derby
4 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Championship Β· England 41%
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 41%
Excelsior Virton
0 : 0 FT
SK Beveren
Win 13%
Draw 19%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 57%
#11 League One Β· England 41%
Bolton
2 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 11 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Saturday 17 December 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Standard Liège II vs Lommel United at 63% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.