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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Saturday 22 October 2022

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 October 2022. Manchester City vs Brighton led the list at 64% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 51%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England 64%
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 62%
Kortrijk
0 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 35%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 62%
Waalwijk
1 : 4 FT
Ajax
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria 60%
Rapid Vienna
0 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 27%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia 60%
Lokomotiv
1 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#6 League One Β· England 60%
Bristol Rovers
2 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 20%
Draw 19%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany 58%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 3 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 58%
St. Truiden
0 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
Win 34%
Draw 22%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany 55%
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 27%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia 55%
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 2 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Premier League Β· England 55%
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 55%
Fenerbahçe
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 54%
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 0 FT
FC St. Pauli
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia 54%
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 53%
Seongnam FC
4 : 4 FT
Daegu FC
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 53%
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 0 FT
Hannover 96
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Championship Β· England 52%
Reading
2 : 0 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 52%
MVV
3 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 52%
Vitesse
2 : 1 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#20 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 51%
Suwon City FC
0 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Saturday 22 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Brighton at 64% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.