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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 27 November 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 27 November 2026. Jong Ajax vs Heracles tops the list at 63% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
– : – 19:00
Heracles
Win 20%
Draw 18%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
– : – 19:00
Almere City FC
Win 25%
Draw 20%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
– : – 19:00
Vitesse
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
– : – 17:00
Kasımpaşa
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
– : – 19:00
Den Bosch
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Artis
– : – 17:00
Slovácko
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
– : – 17:30
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
– : – 19:00
Jong PSV U21
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
– : – 20:00
Chelsea
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#10 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
– : – 12:00
Sisaket United
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
– : – 20:15
Nacional
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
– : – 19:00
AS Eupen
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 57%
#13 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
– : – 19:00
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 27 November 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs Heracles at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.