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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 27 November 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Friday 27 November 2026. Jong Utrecht vs Almere City FC sits top on 68% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
: 19:00
Almere City FC
Win 16%
Draw 16%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
: 19:00
Heracles
Win 19%
Draw 13%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 94% BTTS Yes 87%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 19:00
Vitesse
Win 18%
Draw 17%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
: 19:00
Den Bosch
Win 32%
Draw 21%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rasi Salai United
: 12:00
Buriram United
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
: 19:00
AS Eupen
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
: 20:15
Nacional
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
: 19:00
Jong PSV U21
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Pattani
: 12:00
Chiangrai United
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
: 19:00
FC OSS
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 27 November 2026?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Utrecht vs Almere City FC at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.