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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 17 February 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Tuesday 17 February 2026. Tranmere vs Accrington ST sits top on 47% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 31%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
0 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 32%
Draw 22%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 30%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 League Two Β· England
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 FT
Notts County
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 League One Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#6 League One Β· England
Blackpool
1 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 League Two Β· England
Barnet
1 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 53%
#9 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
2 : 2 FT
Wrexham
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 League One Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#11 League Two Β· England
Barrow
0 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 34%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#12 League One Β· England
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#13 League One Β· England
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Stockport County
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 17 February 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Tranmere vs Accrington ST at 47% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.