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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 29 October 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 29 October 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain at 64% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 1 supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 36%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
1 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 19%
Draw 17%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
2 : 0 FT
Lens
Win 20%
Draw 29%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 30%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris FC
3 : 3 FT
Lyon
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
1 : 3 FT
Catanzaro
Win 28%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Le Havre
1 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
2 : 0 FT
Lille
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 30%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Padova
Win 29%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
3 : 5 FT
Monaco
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 29 October 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain at 64% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.