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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 14 June 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 14 June 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City at 68% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
3 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 14%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
0 : 4 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 16%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Umeå FC
0 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 18%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 5 FT
VPS
Win 27%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 3 FT
Oddevold
Win 26%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 33%
Draw 21%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Waterford
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 72%
#10 Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#11 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 3 FT
York United
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
0 : 3 FT
Ilves
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
#14 Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
3 : 1 FT
FF Jaro
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 14 June 2025?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Better City at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.