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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 30 March 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 30 March 2025. Angers vs Rennes sits top on 55% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 37%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 · France
Angers
0 : 3 FT
Rennes
Win 20%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 55%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Atalanta
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
#3 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 0 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 25%
Draw 20%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Anyang
0 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 26%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#5 Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
0 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 30%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 45%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
3 : 2 FT
Nantes
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
3 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
2 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#9 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Dender
1 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 4 FT
Muangthong United
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Bryne
0 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
1 : 0 FT
Lommel United
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
1 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
3 : 2 FT
Port FC
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#16 Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
0 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 55%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#18 Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
0 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 32%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
2 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#20 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3 : 3 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 30 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Angers vs Rennes at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.