FC Anyang 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Jeonbuk Motors at 47% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as FC Anyang face Jeonbuk Motors.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Anyang Stadium plays host to FC Anyang versus Jeonbuk Motors in K League 1 (matchday 6). Kick-off: Sunday 30 March 2025 at 09:30 UK time.
Form & Momentum
Jeonbuk Motors's record over their last 10 games: 4W 3D 3L (1.50 PPG). Last five: D W D W W. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
When travelling, Jeonbuk Motors have posted 3W 3D 4L from their last 10 away outings — 1.20 PPG. Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects FC Anyang 1.01 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.46 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: FC Anyang attack 0.857 / defence 1.349 | Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.961 / defence 1.047. League average goals — home 1.124 / away 1.123. FC Anyang's defence rating of 1.349 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing Jeonbuk Motors's projected output up. Data: built from FC Anyang's last 5 games and Jeonbuk Motors's last 38.
Result probabilities: FC Anyang 26% | Draw 26% | Jeonbuk Motors 47%. Fair-value odds: FC Anyang 3.82 | Draw 3.79 | Jeonbuk Motors 2.11. Jeonbuk Motors hold a narrow Poisson edge at 47% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 45% | BTTS Yes probability 49% | Total xG 2.47. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 55% — total xG of 2.47 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS No at 51% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Jeonbuk Motors as the most likely outcome at 47% — moderate model lean. Draw probability of 26% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Jeonbuk Motors if the outright odds are short.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.47 combined xG gives a 55% probability to Under 2.5 — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
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🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors | Competition: K League 1, matchday 6 | Venue: Anyang Stadium • Kick-off: Sunday 30 March 2025 at 09:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: FC Anyang 26% | Draw 26% | Jeonbuk Motors 47% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 45% (Under 55%) | BTTS Yes 49% (No 51%) | xG FC Anyang 1.01 / Jeonbuk Motors 1.46 • Poisson strength factors: FC Anyang attack 0.857 / def 1.349 | Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.961 / def 1.047 | league avg home 1.124 / away 1.123 • Poisson stance: Jeonbuk Motors (47%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.01
FC Anyang xG
Expected Goals
1.46
Jeonbuk Motors xG
49%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors FAQs
What time does FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors kick off?
FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors kicked off at 09:30 UK time on Sunday 30 March 2025 at Anyang Stadium.
What was the final score in FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors?
FC Anyang 0 - 1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Where is FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors being played?
The match is being played at Anyang Stadium.
What competition is FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors part of?
FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors is a K League 1 fixture (matchday 6) (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our statistical model gives FC Anyang a 26% chance of winning, Jeonbuk Motors a 47% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Jeonbuk Motors the favourite.
Will both teams score in FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our model estimates a 49% probability that both FC Anyang and Jeonbuk Motors will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (51%).
Will FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 45%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (55%).
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
FC Anyang's attacking strength (0.86x league average) is weighed against Jeonbuk Motors's defensive record (1.05x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.01. Flip it around — Jeonbuk Motors's attack (0.96x) against FC Anyang's defence (1.35x) — and the away total comes out at 1.46.
These ratings are built from FC Anyang's last 5 games and Jeonbuk Motors's last 38 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.1%. Close behind: 0-1 (10.7%), 0-0 (10.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Jeonbuk Motors Win
26%
3.82
26%
3.79
47%
2.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
12.4%
Away win
1 – 2
9.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.01
FC Anyang xG
Total xG
2.47
1.46
Jeonbuk Motors xG
3.82
26%
Home win
3.79
26%
Draw
2.11
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.05
51%
BTTS No
1.95
Clean Sheet
23%
4.29
36%
2.75
Win to Nil
6%
16.40
17%
5.79
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 12.4 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 8.6 | 12.5 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.1%.
How many goals are FC Anyang and Jeonbuk Motors expected to score?
The model projects 1.01 expected goals for FC Anyang and 1.46 for Jeonbuk Motors, a combined total of 2.47.
How confident is the prediction model for FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
Last 0 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
FC Anyang
Pre-Season
Jeonbuk Motors
Pre-Season
No results found.
No results found.
FC Anyang (Home) vs Jeonbuk Motors (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
FC Anyang
Pre-Season
Jeonbuk Motors
Pre-Season
No results found for this venue split.
No results found for this venue split.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 6 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to March 2025 — enough to show some patterns. All of them came in K League 1. The most recent was as recently as 24 October 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Records & Recent Trends
The most recent 2 H2H matches in our data have all been drawn — an unusually settled run for this fixture.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, FC Anyang have gone 0W 2D 1L from the 3 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against Jeonbuk Motors — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 6 Meetings
0
FC Anyang
2
Draws
4
Jeonbuk Motors
Recent Meetings
❓ FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between FC Anyang and Jeonbuk Motors?
Across the 6 head-to-head matches in our data, FC Anyang have won 0, Jeonbuk Motors have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did FC Anyang and Jeonbuk Motors last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 24 October 2026: FC Anyang 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Who has won more matches between FC Anyang and Jeonbuk Motors?
Jeonbuk Motors have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 6 head-to-head matches in our data.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = FC Anyang home games / Jeonbuk Motors away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
Prediction vindicated as Jeonbuk Motors edge out FC Anyang 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Jeonbuk Motors beat FC Anyang 0-1 at Anyang Stadium, Regular Season - 6, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 1.01 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.46 xG, a combined 2.47. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. FC Anyang fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 0.86 / defence 1.35 against Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.96 / defence 1.05, drawn from 5/38 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 26% | Draw 26% | Jeonbuk Motors 47%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 47%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 71% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.