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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 22 November 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Friday 22 November 2024. Martigues vs Laval sits top on 61% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Martigues
0 : 3 FT
Laval
Win 12%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 61%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Laval Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 6 FT
Cambuur
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
3 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 4 FT
FC Volendam
Win 31%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kallithea
1 : 2 FT
Panserraikos
Win 29%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
3 : 0 FT
Telstar
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
3 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 53%
#12 League Two Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
2 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Preußen Münster
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Karpaty
1 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 0 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 18 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 22 November 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Martigues vs Laval at 61% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.