Sign in Register
✈️

Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 7 December 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Thursday 7 December 2023. Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh sits top on 77% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
2 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 10%
Draw 13%
Win 77%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
4 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Everton
3 : 0 FT
Newcastle
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
0 : 2 FT
Corinthians
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
3 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
1 : 2 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
1 : 2 FT
West Ham
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
3 : 1 FT
Botafogo
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 FT
Flamengo
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 7 December 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh at 77% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.