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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 20 October 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 20 October 2023. Al Okhdood vs Al-Fayha led the list at 58% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 2 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 16%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 58%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 24%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 3 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#5 Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 3 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 24%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#6 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
0 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#7 Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
2 : 4 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 24%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#8 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze
3 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
✓ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
0 : 0 FT
Lens
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Serie A · Brazil
Santos
1 : 3 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 1 FT
Lommel United
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 45%
Draw 21%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#13 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
2 : 0 FT
Granada CF
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
3 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
0 : 3 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
#17 Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 2 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 18 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 20 October 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Okhdood vs Al-Fayha at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.