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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 15 December 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Thursday 15 December 2022. Hebei Zhongji vs Shenzhen Ruby FC led the list at 79% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies five of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Hebei Zhongji
2 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 8%
Draw 14%
Win 79%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
2 : 4 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 18%
Draw 30%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#4 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
3 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 2 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 15 December 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Hebei Zhongji vs Shenzhen Ruby FC at 79% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.