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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 2 September 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 2 September 2022. Den Bosch vs PEC Zwolle led the list at 70% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 13%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
4 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Ümraniyespor
0 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#4 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 1 FT
Al Ain
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#7 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
3 : 4 FT
Utrecht
Win 37%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Dijon
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
2 : 1 FT
Caen
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#10 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
0 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liège II
2 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
0 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#16 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#18 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
2 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 0 FT
Cadiz
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
#20 Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 2 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Den Bosch vs PEC Zwolle at 70% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.