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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 30 July 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Seongnam FC vs Incheon United at 56% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 38%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 · South-Korea
Seongnam FC
3 : 1 FT
Incheon United
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
jerv
2 : 5 FT
Valerenga
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 55%
#3 Eliteserien · Norway
Aalesund
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 27%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 53%
#4 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
3 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena
3 : 0 FT
Nublense
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Ceara
1 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 24%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Miedz Legnica
1 : 2 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 24%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#8 League One · England
Cambridge United
1 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
#9 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 3 FT
Rosenborg
Win 33%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Premier League · Russia
Fakel
3 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 League One · England
Derby
1 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
3 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
2 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 1 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
1 : 2 FT
Niort
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#16 Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
0 : 0 FT
Servette FC
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Bordeaux
0 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Championship · England
Rotherham
1 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
1 : 2 FT
Pacific FC
Win 35%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 3 FT
IK brage
Win 31%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 30 July 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Seongnam FC vs Incheon United at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.