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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 23 July 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Saturday 23 July 2022. VPS vs Haka led the list at 55% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 23%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga · Finland
VPS
3 : 3 FT
Haka
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
3 : 0 FT
Ural
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
3 : 0 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 34%
Draw 22%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
3 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
1 : 2 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 29%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#7 Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 0 FT
D. La Serena
✓ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
3 : 1 FT
Valour
✓ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
1 : 4 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Antofagasta
2 : 3 FT
A. Italiano
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60%
#12 Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Edmonton
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 23 July 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by VPS vs Haka at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.