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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Wednesday 20 April 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 20 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to GIF Sundsvall vs Kalmar FF at 67% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 15%
Draw 18%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
1 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 20%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 54%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Angers
0 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 22%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 52%
BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
#7 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 2 FT
Plzen
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
#8 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
2 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 59%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Reims
2 : 1 FT
Lille
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#11 Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
2 : 1 FT
Rennes
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#13 Premier League · England
Newcastle
1 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#14 Premier League · England
Chelsea
2 : 4 FT
Arsenal
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Premier League · England
Everton
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 15 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 20 April 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by GIF Sundsvall vs Kalmar FF at 67% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.