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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 17 May 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 17 May 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping at 57% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, 0 landed the away win market — 0%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
2 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
Win 17%
Draw 36%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#3 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 20%
Draw 40%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
2 : 0 FT
Lahti
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
0 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 6 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 17 May 2021?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping at 57% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.