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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 21 November 2020

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Saturday 21 November 2020. Aalesund vs Valerenga sits top on 61% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies six of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
1 : 1 FT
Valerenga
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 17%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 3 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 5 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 20%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
0 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 29%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 32%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 21 November 2020?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Aalesund vs Valerenga at 61% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.