Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira – Predictions
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Al-Ittihad Kalba's attacking strength (1.11x league average) is weighed against Al-Jazira's defensive record (1.08x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 2.22. The same calculation in reverse, Al-Jazira's attack versus Al-Ittihad Kalba's defence, projects 1.50 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 33/34 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 9.1%. Close behind: 2-1 (8.9%), 2-2 (6.7%). Together the top three scorelines make up 25% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Al-Ittihad Kalba Win
52%
1.91
23%
4.34
25%
4.08
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.1%
Draw
2 – 2
6.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.22
Al-Ittihad Kalba xG
Total xG
3.72
1.50
Al-Jazira xG
1.91
52%
Home win
4.34
23%
Draw
4.08
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
72%
Over 2.5
1.39
28%
Under 2.5
3.57
51%
Over 3.5
1.96
49%
Under 3.5
2.04
32%
Over 4.5
3.12
68%
Under 4.5
1.47
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
71%
BTTS Yes
1.41
29%
BTTS No
3.41
Clean Sheet
22%
4.50
11%
9.19
Win to Nil
12%
8.59
3%
37.49
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 5.4 | 8.1 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 8.9 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 9.1%.
How many goals are Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira expected to score?
The model projects 2.22 expected goals for Al-Ittihad Kalba and 1.50 for Al-Jazira, a combined total of 3.72.
How confident is the prediction model for Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 52%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.