Today's Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Friday 20 March 2026

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Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 20 March 2026. Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United led the list at 73% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the under 2.5 goals market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Ireland 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 54%

Ligue 2 · France 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%

Premier Division · Ireland 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Championship · England 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

Ligue 2 · France 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%

Ligue 1 · France 63%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 64% Lens Clean Sheet 54%

Ligue 2 · France 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 60%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#10

Ekstraklasa · Poland 57%

#11

Challenger Pro League · Belgium 57%

#12

Bundesliga · Austria 57%

#13

Serie A · Italy 56%

Showing top 13 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Friday 20 March 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United at 73% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.