Under 2.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 9 April 2023
Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 9 April 2023. Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United sits top on 72% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 59%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
La Liga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the under 2.5 goals market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Thai League 1 · Thailand
72%
La Liga · Spain
71%
La Liga · Spain
69%
Ligue 1 · France
69%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
68%
Ligue 1 · France
68%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
66%
Premier League · Ukraine
66%
Super League 1 · Greece
65%
La Liga · Spain
65%
La Liga · Spain
64%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
64%
K League 1 · South-Korea
63%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
63%
Super League 1 · Greece
61%
Ligue 1 · France
61%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
60%
Premier League · Ukraine
60%
Süper Lig · Turkey
60%
Premier League · England
59%
Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsUnder 2.5 Goals — common questions
What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?
Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 9 April 2023?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United at 72% under 2.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.