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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Saturday 30 July 2022

Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 31 Mon 1 Tue 2

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Ceara vs Palmeiras at 71% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 59%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the under 2.5 goals market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil 71%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%

Primera División · Chile 69%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%

Serie A · Brazil 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Corinthians Clean Sheet 54%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%

Ligue 2 · France 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

K League 1 · South-Korea 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Primera División · Chile 62%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Ligue 2 · France 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Superettan · Sweden 61%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%

#10

Championship · England 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%

#11

Ligue 2 · France 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#12

Ligue 2 · France 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#13

Eliteserien · Norway 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#14

Ligue 2 · France 60%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#15

K League 1 · South-Korea 60%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

#16

Ligue 2 · France 59%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%

#17

League Two · England 59%

#18

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 59%

#19

League Two · England 59%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

#20

Primera División · Chile 59%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Saturday 30 July 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ceara vs Palmeiras at 71% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.