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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 24 October 2021

Thu 21 Fri 22 Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25 Tue 26 Wed 27

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 24 October 2021. Ruh Lviv vs Minai sits top on 77% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 62%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the under 2.5 goals market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Ukraine 77%

Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 68%

Thai League 1 · Thailand 75%

Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%

Championship · England 74%

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%

Super League 1 · Greece 72%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%

Bundesliga · Austria 69%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Allsvenskan · Sweden 69%

✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%

Premier League · Russia 69%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

K League 1 · South-Korea 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#10

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

#11

Serie A · Brazil 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

#12

La Liga · Spain 66%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%

#13

Veikkausliiga · Finland 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

#14

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#15

K League 1 · South-Korea 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

#16

Premier League · Russia 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

#17

Superettan · Sweden 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#18

Serie A · Brazil 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

#19

Serie A · Brazil 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#20

K League 1 · South-Korea 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 24 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ruh Lviv vs Minai at 77% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.