Lask Linz 0-1 SCR Altach – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model projects a closely fought contest — draw probability sits at 36% as Lask Linz take on SCR Altach.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
SCR Altach make the trip to Raiffeisen Arena to face Lask Linz in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 12. The match kicks off on Sunday 24 October 2021 at 13:30 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Lask Linz have collected 0.70 PPG across 10 Bundesliga outings this season: 1W 4D 5L. Last five: L D W L L. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Lask Linz, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Lask Linz's home record at Raiffeisen Arena: 1W 2D 3L from 6 Bundesliga appearances (0.83 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
SCR Altach (all games): 2W 4D 4L across 10 Bundesliga outings this term — 1.00 points per game. Last five: D D L L D. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
SCR Altach's away record: 1W 2D 2L from 5 road trips in Bundesliga this season (1.00 PPG). Away from home they average 0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 2 clean sheets from 5 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road.
A near-identical PPG reading — 0.70 for Lask Linz, 1.00 for SCR Altach — means the form record is uninstructive on result selection. The goals and market sections will carry greater evidential weight.
Trading
Lask Linz half-time and goal-timing data (11 games, 5 at home): they score before half-time in 20% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 75% of those occasions; when trailing at the break they recover to draw or win in 27% of cases; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games (home games).
SCR Altach half-time and goal-timing data (11 games, 5 at away): they score before half-time in 60% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 33% of the time; BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games (away games); they fail to score in 46% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Lask Linz 64% versus SCR Altach 54%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Lask Linz 27% | SCR Altach 46%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Lask Linz 1.01 xG and SCR Altach 0.93 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Lask Linz attack 0.760 / defence 1.143 | SCR Altach attack 0.593 / defence 1.062. League average goals — home 1.257 / away 1.366. Lask Linz's attack strength of 0.760 is below the league average — the 1.01 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 11 Lask Linz games / 11 SCR Altach games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Lask Linz 34% | Draw 36% | SCR Altach 30%. Fair-value odds: Lask Linz 2.94 | Draw 2.78 | SCR Altach 3.33. The draw (36%) is the Poisson-preferred outcome — neither side is more likely to win than to draw, making draw-inclusive markets the most model-aligned approach.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 31% | BTTS probability 41% | Total xG 1.94. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 69% probability — total xG of 1.94 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 41% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's preferred outcome is the draw at 36% — neither side is more likely to win than to draw. Draw-inclusive markets are the most model-aligned approach. Home win at 34% and away win at 30% are close enough that backing either outright carries significant draw exposure.
Poisson projects 1.94 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 31% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.1 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 41% on No. Form rates are neutral: Lask Linz 67% | SCR Altach 40%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Lask Linz vs SCR Altach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 12 | Venue: Raiffeisen Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 24 Oct 2021, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Lask Linz 34% | Draw 36% | SCR Altach 30% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 31% | BTTS 41% | xG Lask Linz 1.01 / SCR Altach 0.93 • Poisson strength factors: Lask Linz attack 0.760 / def 1.143 | SCR Altach attack 0.593 / def 1.062 | league avg home 1.257 / away 1.366 • Poisson stance: Draw (36%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.01
Lask Linz xG
Expected Goals
0.93
SCR Altach xG
41%
BTTS
60%
Over 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
13%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Lask Linz vs SCR Altach kick off?
Lask Linz vs SCR Altach kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 24 October 2021 at Raiffeisen Arena.
What was the final score in Lask Linz vs SCR Altach?
Lask Linz 0 - 1 SCR Altach.
Where is Lask Linz vs SCR Altach being played?
The match is being played at Raiffeisen Arena.
What competition is Lask Linz vs SCR Altach part of?
Lask Linz vs SCR Altach is a Regular Season - 12 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Lask Linz vs SCR Altach?
Our statistical model gives Lask Linz a 34% chance of winning, SCR Altach a 30% chance, and a 36% chance of a draw, making this a very evenly-matched fixture.
Will both teams score in Lask Linz vs SCR Altach?
Our model estimates a 41% probability that both Lask Linz and SCR Altach will score (BTTS).
Will Lask Linz vs SCR Altach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 31%.
What is the head-to-head record between Lask Linz and SCR Altach?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Lask Linz and SCR Altach in?
Lask Linz (all comps): 1W-4D-5L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-D-W-L-L. SCR Altach (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.50 | L5 D-D-L-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from Lask Linz's attack rating (0.76) and SCR Altach's defence rating (1.06), the model arrives at 1.01 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — SCR Altach's attack (0.59x) against Lask Linz's defence (1.14x) — and the away total comes out at 0.93.
These ratings are built from 11/11 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 0-0 emerges as the single most likely result, at 16.1%. Close behind: 1-1 (15.2%), 1-0 (12.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 44% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
34%
2.91
36%
2.78
30%
3.37
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.6%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.4%
Draw
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.01
Lask Linz xG
Total xG
1.94
0.93
SCR Altach xG
2.91
34%
Home win
2.78
36%
Draw
3.37
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.45
59%
BTTS No
1.69
Clean Sheet
40%
2.52
36%
2.76
Win to Nil
14%
7.34
11%
9.30
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.4 | 13.3 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.6 | 13.5 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Lask Linz vs SCR Altach?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 16.1%.
How many goals are Lask Linz and SCR Altach expected to score?
The model projects 1.01 expected goals for Lask Linz and 0.93 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 1.94.
How confident is the prediction model for Lask Linz vs SCR Altach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Lask Linz's recent record stands at 2W 4D 5L from 11 games, a 0.91 PPG return, with L-D-W-L-L in the last five. The sample for Lask Linz is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
SCR Altach, meanwhile, have gone 2W 4D 5L across 11 games — 0.91 PPG, with D-D-L-L-D in their last five. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.91 PPG for Lask Linz against 0.91 for SCR Altach. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, Lask Linz have managed 1W 1D 3L from 5 games — 0.80 PPG in front of their own supporters.
SCR Altach's away record stands at 1W 2D 2L across 5 trips, a 1.00 PPG haul.
Attack vs Defence
Lask Linz are averaging 0.91 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game recently; SCR Altach are on 0.73 scored and 1.45 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Lask Linz have seen both teams score in 64% of their recent games.
Last 11 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Lask Linz
Blended
SCR Altach
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Lask Linz and SCR Altach in coming into this match?
Lask Linz have gone 2W 4D 5L in their last 11 games (0.91 PPG), while SCR Altach have gone 2W 4D 5L in their last 11 (0.91 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Lask Linz at home or SCR Altach away?
SCR Altach's away record (1.00 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Lask Linz at home: 0.80 PPG; SCR Altach away: 1.00 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to August 2022 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 3 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 9 November 2025, roughly 8 months ago.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Lask Linz won 4-1 on 27 Aug 2022, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Lask Linz have gone 3W 1D 1L from 5 meetings on their own ground against SCR Altach — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
6
Lask Linz
2
Draws
2
SCR Altach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Lask Linz and SCR Altach?
From 10 meetings on record, Lask Linz have won 6, SCR Altach have won 2, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Lask Linz and SCR Altach last play each other?
They last met on 9 November 2025, when Lask Linz 1-0 SCR Altach.
Who has won more matches between Lask Linz and SCR Altach?
Lask Linz have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Lask Linz tend to start slowly — only 20% of their games have a goal by half-time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Lask Linz 60%, SCR Altach 40% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 40% (Lask Linz) and 40% (SCR Altach).
On the defensive side: SCR Altach in 40%; Lask Linz have failed to score in 40% of games; SCR Altach in 60%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Lask Linz home games / SCR Altach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Lask Linz play SCR Altach?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 60% of Lask Linz's recent matches and 40% of SCR Altach's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Lask Linz vs SCR Altach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 40% of Lask Linz's recent games and 40% of SCR Altach's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Lask Linz and SCR Altach tend to score early?
Lask Linz have had a goal before half-time in 20% of their recent matches, SCR Altach in 60% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as SCR Altach defy the odds to beat Lask Linz 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
SCR Altach beat Lask Linz 0-1 at Raiffeisen Arena, Regular Season - 12, in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Lask Linz 1.01 xG and SCR Altach 0.93 xG, a combined 1.94. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Lask Linz fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lask Linz attack 0.76 / defence 1.14 against SCR Altach attack 0.59 / defence 1.06, drawn from 11/11 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Lask Linz 34% | Draw 36% | SCR Altach 30%, with the draw its most likely call at 36%. The actual SCR Altach win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 31%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 60% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 36% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lask Linz 27%, SCR Altach 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Lask Linz's trading profile (11 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.
SCR Altach's trading profile (11 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Lask Linz 0.91 PPG, SCR Altach 0.91 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the SCR Altach win broke the near-deadlock. Lask Linz (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward. SCR Altach (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.20 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.