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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

13:30

Venue

Zirka Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

8%

SK Poltava

13.09

13%

Draw

7.76

79%

Shakhtar Donetsk

1.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 3

8.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 3

8.1%

Away win

1 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

SK Poltava xG

Total xG

4.23

3.22

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

13%
79%
SK PoltavaDrawShakhtar Donetsk

13.09

8%

Home win

7.76

13%

Draw

1.26

79%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

61%

Over 3.5

1.64

39%

Under 3.5

2.56

42%

Over 4.5

2.38

58%

Under 4.5

1.72

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

4%

SK Poltava

25.08

36%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.75

Win to Nil

0%

SK Poltava

29%

Shakhtar Donetsk

3.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 4.7 7.5 8.1 6.5 4.2
1 1.5 4.7 7.6 8.2 6.6 4.2
2 0.7 2.4 3.8 4.1 3.3 2.1
3 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.1 0.7
4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.011
λ Away (xG) 3.222
Total xG 4.233
League avg home goals 1.247
League avg away goals 1.220
SK Poltava attack strength 0.930
SK Poltava defence strength 1.892
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.396
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.873
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 56