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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

16:00

Venue

Arena Lviv

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

70%

Shakhtar Donetsk

1.42

17%

Draw

5.78

12%

SK Poltava

8.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Total xG

3.27

0.90

SK Poltava xG

70%
17%
12%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawSK Poltava

1.42

70%

Home win

5.78

17%

Draw

8.08

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

41%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.45

9%

SK Poltava

10.79

Win to Nil

29%

Shakhtar Donetsk

3.48

1%

SK Poltava

87.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 9.0 8.1 3.6 1.1 0.2
2 10.7 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.5 7.6 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 5.1 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 2.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.379
λ Away (xG) 0.895
Total xG 3.274
League avg home goals 1.092
League avg away goals 1.304
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.455
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.903
SK Poltava attack strength 0.760
SK Poltava defence strength 1.498
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 11