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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Dynamo Kyiv edge out Ruh Lviv 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Dynamo Kyiv beat Ruh Lviv 1-0 at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho, Regular Season - 17, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Dynamo Kyiv 1.27 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.93 xG, a combined 2.21. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Ruh Lviv landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dynamo Kyiv attack 1.21 / defence 0.89 against Ruh Lviv attack 0.81 / defence 0.86, drawn from 46/46 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Dynamo Kyiv 44% | Draw 30% | Ruh Lviv 27%, with Dynamo Kyiv to win its most likely call at 44%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 65% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Dynamo Kyiv 59%, Ruh Lviv 30%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Dynamo Kyiv's trading profile (46 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and duly kept one.

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (46 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 37% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 39% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Dynamo Kyiv arrived the stronger side — 2.09 PPG against 1.24. Form held, and they took the win. Dynamo Kyiv (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 2.09 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights