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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

11:00

Venue

Stadion Chornomorets

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

18%

Chornomorets

5.58

25%

Draw

4.03

57%

Shakhtar Donetsk

1.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.9%

Away win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Chornomorets xG

Total xG

2.39

1.61

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

18%
25%
57%
ChornomoretsDrawShakhtar Donetsk

5.58

18%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

1.75

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

20%

Chornomorets

5.01

46%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.17

Win to Nil

4%

Chornomorets

27.95

26%

Shakhtar Donetsk

3.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 14.8 11.9 6.4 2.6 0.8
1 7.1 11.5 9.3 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 2.8 4.5 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.3
3 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.776
λ Away (xG) 1.611
Total xG 2.387
League avg home goals 1.221
League avg away goals 1.023
Chornomorets attack strength 0.824
Chornomorets defence strength 1.133
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.389
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56