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UK Football Predictions

English league and cup matches only β€” Tuesday 1 October 2024

Kick-off times in UK time (GMT/BST)

Free UK football predictions for 1 October 2024, showing only matches from Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

UK football had 31 fixtures on Tuesday 1 October 2024 across three competitions, led by Championship, League One and League Two.

The model's standout reads were Carlisle vs Notts County for over 2.5 goals at 65%, Birmingham vs Huddersfield for both teams to score at 64%, and Gillingham as the strongest favourite at 71% (Gillingham vs Grimsby). These are probabilities from the Poisson model, not certainties.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, 0 landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship logo

Championship predictions

8 matches Β· England Championship hub →
Burnley
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 53%
Cardiff
1 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Coventry
3 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 54%
Luton
2 : 2 FT
Oxford United
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Norwich
1 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
QPR
1 : 3 FT
Hull City
Win 34%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 53%
Sunderland
2 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
West Brom
0 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
League One logo

League One predictions

12 matches Β· England League One hub →
Barnsley
2 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Birmingham
1 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
Blackpool
1 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Bristol Rovers
3 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Cambridge United
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Crawley Town
0 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
BTTS Yes 53%
Leyton Orient
0 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 31%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Northampton
2 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 26%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Shrewsbury
0 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Wrexham
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 35%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Stevenage Clean Sheet 57%
Wigan
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Reading
3 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
League Two logo

League Two predictions

11 matches Β· England League Two hub →
Bromley
2 : 2 FT
Chesterfield
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Carlisle
0 : 2 FT
Notts County
Win 23%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
Cheltenham
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
Doncaster
1 : 0 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Gillingham
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 58%
Harrogate Town
1 : 5 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
Morecambe
1 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Newport County
3 : 1 FT
Salford City
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
Port Vale
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Walsall
2 : 6 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%

Showing all 31 UK fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

UK Football β€” common questions

Which UK leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in the UK include Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup; other UK competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Tuesday 1 October 2024 the page lists Championship, League One and League Two.

How many UK matches were predicted on Tuesday 1 October 2024?

31 UK fixtures across three competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Carlisle vs Notts County at 65%.

How are UK football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in UK time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in UK time (GMT/BST, the Europe/London time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find UK over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Premier League and Championship. The "UK Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top UK fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.