Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Sisaket United at 42%, yet other data sources diverge — this Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Thai League 1 clash, Regular Season - 24 as Sisaket United welcome Uthai Thani to Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium. Kick-off is set for Sunday 18 April 2027 at 11:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Looking at all fixtures this season, Uthai Thani stand at 2W 3D 5L from 10 Thai League 1 matches — 0.90 PPG. Last five: W L D L L. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 1.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Uthai Thani haven't played a Thai League 1 game yet this season, so this record is entirely from last season.
On the road, Uthai Thani have gone 1W 3D 6L from 10 away fixtures this term (0.60 PPG). Away from home they average 0.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Sisaket United 1.33 xG and Uthai Thani 1.02 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Sisaket United attack 0.850 / defence 1.150 | Uthai Thani attack 0.868 / defence 0.991. League average goals — home 1.585 / away 1.019. Data: 0 Sisaket United games / 30 Uthai Thani games used (PrevSeason). Note: current-season sample is too small — prior-season data is carrying the calculation. Model confidence is reduced; treat probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Sisaket United 42% | Draw 32% | Uthai Thani 26%. Fair-value odds: Sisaket United 2.38 | Draw 3.12 | Uthai Thani 3.85. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 32% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS probability 49% | Total xG 2.35. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.35 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 49% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Sisaket United are the pick at 42% — marginal model lean. With a 32% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Sisaket United offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.35 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 42% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
The Poisson model is drawing on PrevSeason data (0 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani | Competition: Thai League 1, Regular Season - 24 | Venue: Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium • Kick-off: Sunday 18 Apr 2027, 11:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
⚔️ Head-to-Head History
• No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset
📈 Recent Form
• No current-season fixtures available — form shown from previous season data • Uthai Thani (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-L-D-L-L • Uthai Thani away split: 0.60 PPG from 10 | GF 0.50 / GA 1.60 | CS 2
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Sisaket United 42% | Draw 32% | Uthai Thani 26% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% | BTTS 49% | xG Sisaket United 1.33 / Uthai Thani 1.02 • Poisson strength factors: Sisaket United attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | Uthai Thani attack 0.868 / def 0.991 | league avg home 1.585 / away 1.019 • Poisson stance: Sisaket United (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.33
Sisaket United xG
Expected Goals
1.02
Uthai Thani xG
49%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
Full score probability matrix is a Premium feature
Upgrade to see the exact probability of every scoreline from 0-0 to 6-6, not just the headline 1X2 split.
Upgrade to Premium⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani kick off?
Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani is scheduled to kick off at 11:00 on Sunday 18 April 2027 at Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium.
Where is Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani being played?
The match is being played at Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium.
What competition is Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani part of?
Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani is a Regular Season - 24 fixture in the Thai League 1 (Thailand).
Who is favourite to win Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani?
Our statistical model gives Sisaket United a 42% chance of winning, Uthai Thani a 26% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw — making Sisaket United the favourite.
Will both teams score in Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani?
Our model estimates a 49% probability that both Sisaket United and Uthai Thani will score (BTTS).
Will Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sisaket United and Uthai Thani?
• No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset
What form are Sisaket United and Uthai Thani in?
• No current-season fixtures available — form shown from previous season data • Uthai Thani (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-L-D-L-L • Uthai Thani away split: 0.60 PPG from 10 | GF 0.50 / GA 1.60 | CS 2
What do the betting odds say about Sisaket United vs Uthai Thani?
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture