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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Buriram United run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Nakhon Ratchasima FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Buriram United beat Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0-3 at 80th Birthday Stadium, Regular Season - 24, in the Thai League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0.98 xG and Buriram United 1.71 xG, a combined 2.69. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Nakhon Ratchasima FC fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Buriram United outscored their 1.71 projection by 1.3. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Nakhon Ratchasima FC attack 0.81 / defence 1.04 against Buriram United attack 1.43 / defence 0.80, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Nakhon Ratchasima FC 20% | Draw 28% | Buriram United 53%, with Buriram United to win its most likely call at 53%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Nakhon Ratchasima FC 51%, Buriram United 69%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Nakhon Ratchasima FC's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 39% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Buriram United's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 45% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Buriram United arrived the stronger side — 2.41 PPG against 0.88. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Nakhon Ratchasima FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.24 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.60 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Buriram United (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.96 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights