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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

11:30

Venue

BG Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

76%

BG Pathum United

1.32

17%

Draw

5.87

7%

Sukhothai FC

13.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

10.7%

Home win

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.47

BG Pathum United xG

Total xG

3.16

0.69

Sukhothai FC xG

76%
17%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawSukhothai FC

1.32

76%

Home win

5.87

17%

Draw

13.59

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

50%

BG Pathum United

1.99

8%

Sukhothai FC

11.85

Win to Nil

38%

BG Pathum United

2.63

1%

Sukhothai FC

160.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 2.9 1.0 0.2
1 10.5 7.2 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 13.0 8.9 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 10.7 7.3 2.5 0.6 0.1
4 6.6 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
5 3.3 2.2 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.472
λ Away (xG) 0.686
Total xG 3.158
League avg home goals 1.524
League avg away goals 1.153
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.111
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.975
Sukhothai FC attack strength 0.610
Sukhothai FC defence strength 1.460
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51