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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 11 May 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 11 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Beşiktaş vs Adana Demirspor (Beşiktaş over 1.5 goals) at 78% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş over 1.5 goals 78%
Beşiktaş
4 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Göztepe over 1.5 goals 75%
Göztepe
1 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC over 1.5 goals 69%
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF over 1.5 goals 67%
Hammarby FF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo over 1.5 goals 66%
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 59%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht over 1.5 goals 64%
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Utrecht
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway KFUM Oslo over 1.5 goals 64%
KFUM Oslo
1 : 3 FT
Tromso
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#8 Premier League Β· England Newcastle over 1.5 goals 64%
Newcastle
2 : 0 FT
Chelsea
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Kaiserslautern over 1.5 goals 61%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 61%
Feyenoord
2 : 3 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#11 Super League Β· China Tianjin Teda over 1.5 goals 60%
Tianjin Teda
0 : 1 FT
Yunnan Yukun
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking over 1.5 goals 60%
Haugesund
1 : 4 FT
Viking
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern over 1.5 goals 58%
FC Luzern
1 : 1 FT
Lausanne
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis over 1.5 goals 57%
Real Betis
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 goals 56%
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#16 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki over 1.5 goals 56%
FF Jaro
0 : 3 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 27%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Premier League Β· England Tottenham over 1.5 goals 56%
Tottenham
0 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#18 Premier League Β· England Nottingham Forest over 1.5 goals 56%
Nottingham Forest
2 : 2 FT
Leicester
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 18 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 11 May 2025?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beşiktaş vs Adana Demirspor (Beşiktaş over 1.5 goals) at 78% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.