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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 9 May 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Friday 9 May 2025. Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Utrecht (Jong PSV U21 over 1.5 goals) sits top on 72% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong PSV U21 over 1.5 goals 72%
Jong PSV U21
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy Sassuolo over 1.5 goals 65%
Sassuolo
0 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht over 1.5 goals 60%
Dordrecht
4 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves over 1.5 goals 60%
Ilves
3 : 2 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur over 1.5 goals 58%
Cambuur
1 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals 57%
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 0 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
#7 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG over 1.5 goals 57%
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar over 1.5 goals 56%
Telstar
3 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz over 1.5 goals 56%
Sturm Graz
4 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 9 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 9 May 2025?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Utrecht (Jong PSV U21 over 1.5 goals) at 72% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.