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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 28 April 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 28 April 2024. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Lamia (Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals) led the list at 67% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals 67%
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 1 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen over 1.5 goals 67%
Plzen
3 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Trat FC over 1.5 goals 67%
Trat FC
4 : 2 FT
Police Tero
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco over 1.5 goals 66%
Lyon
3 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 24%
Draw 21%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken over 1.5 goals 65%
BK Hacken
1 : 2 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 65%
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 64%
Nottingham Forest
0 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway Brann over 1.5 goals 64%
KFUM Oslo
0 : 0 FT
Brann
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Lamphun Warrior over 1.5 goals 63%
Lamphun Warrior
2 : 3 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#10 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 63%
Tottenham
2 : 3 FT
Arsenal
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam over 1.5 goals 60%
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 goals 59%
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 1 FT
VfL Osnabrück
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim over 1.5 goals 59%
SV Darmstadt 98
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda over 1.5 goals 59%
NAC Breda
2 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy Fiorentina over 1.5 goals 59%
Fiorentina
5 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC over 1.5 goals 58%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor over 1.5 goals 57%
Trabzonspor
4 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta over 1.5 goals 56%
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy Inter over 1.5 goals 56%
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Torino
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Zlin over 1.5 goals 55%
Zlin
0 : 1 FT
Karviná
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 28 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Lamia (Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals) at 67% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.