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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 20 February 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 20 February 2024. Oxford United vs Northampton (Oxford United over 1.5 goals) led the list at 74% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Oxford United over 1.5 goals 74%
Oxford United
2 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Championship Β· England Ipswich over 1.5 goals 72%
Ipswich
4 : 3 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Championship Β· England Southampton over 1.5 goals 70%
Southampton
1 : 2 FT
Hull City
Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 League One Β· England Reading over 1.5 goals 59%
Reading
2 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55%
#5 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon over 1.5 goals 58%
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 57%
Manchester City
1 : 0 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 6 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 20 February 2024?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Oxford United vs Northampton (Oxford United over 1.5 goals) at 74% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.