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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 9 February 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Friday 9 February 2024. Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice (Stal Mielec over 1.5 goals) sits top on 63% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Stal Mielec over 1.5 goals 63%
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 62%
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor over 1.5 goals 60%
Adana Demirspor
1 : 3 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 60%
Hamburger SV
3 : 4 FT
Hannover 96
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium St. Truiden over 1.5 goals 58%
St. Truiden
1 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Portimonense over 1.5 goals 56%
Estrela
3 : 0 FT
Portimonense
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 56%
Waalwijk
2 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda over 1.5 goals 56%
Roda
4 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%

Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 9 February 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice (Stal Mielec over 1.5 goals) at 63% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.