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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 16 December 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 16 December 2023. Hertha BSC vs VfL Osnabrück (Hertha BSC over 1.5 goals) led the list at 88% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 59%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hertha BSC over 1.5 goals 88%
Hertha BSC
0 : 0 FT
VfL Osnabrück
Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Championship Β· England Ipswich over 1.5 goals 81%
Ipswich
2 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 59%
Draw 17%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 88% ✓ BTTS Yes 83%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland Grasshoppers over 1.5 goals 78%
Grasshoppers
1 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 League Two Β· England Wrexham over 1.5 goals 77%
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Premier League Β· England Chelsea over 1.5 goals 75%
Chelsea
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Championship Β· England Plymouth over 1.5 goals 74%
Plymouth
3 : 2 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#7 Premier League Β· England Newcastle over 1.5 goals 70%
Newcastle
3 : 0 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC over 1.5 goals 67%
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 66%
RB Leipzig
3 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen over 1.5 goals 65%
Heerenveen
1 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals 65%
1. FC Magdeburg
2 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 20%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 League Two Β· England Doncaster over 1.5 goals 64%
Doncaster
0 : 5 FT
Morecambe
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 League One Β· England Lincoln over 1.5 goals 64%
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Reading
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 League Two Β· England Stockport County over 1.5 goals 64%
Stockport County
8 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 63%
Manchester City
2 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain over 1.5 goals 61%
Al Ain
0 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 61%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1 : 3 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 League One Β· England Stevenage over 1.5 goals 60%
Stevenage
1 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#19 League One Β· England Bolton over 1.5 goals 59%
Bolton
1 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Bochum over 1.5 goals 59%
VfL Bochum
3 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 16 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hertha BSC vs VfL Osnabrück (Hertha BSC over 1.5 goals) at 88% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.