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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 8 October 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 8 October 2023. Bayern München vs SC Freiburg (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) led the list at 80% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 60%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 80%
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 79%
BSC Young Boys
3 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sandefjord over 1.5 goals 75%
Sandefjord
0 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 70%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 over 1.5 goals 75%
FC Schalke 04
1 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 57%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Tromso over 1.5 goals 74%
Tromso
1 : 2 FT
Aalesund
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 73%
PEC Zwolle
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 9%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 74%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa over 1.5 goals 72%
Legia Warszawa
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde over 1.5 goals 72%
Molde
1 : 3 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF over 1.5 goals 72%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
5 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United over 1.5 goals 71%
Buriram United
2 : 2 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC over 1.5 goals 71%
Emirates Club
1 : 3 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 23%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano over 1.5 goals 70%
FC Lugano
0 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 69%
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg over 1.5 goals 66%
Austria Klagenfurt
2 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 14%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Superettan Β· Sweden Gais over 1.5 goals 65%
Trelleborg
0 : 6 FT
Gais
Win 15%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen over 1.5 goals 65%
Plzen
3 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona over 1.5 goals 65%
Granada CF
2 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG over 1.5 goals 63%
Atletico-MG
1 : 2 FT
Coritiba
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#19 Premier League Β· England Newcastle over 1.5 goals 60%
West Ham
2 : 2 FT
Newcastle
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 60%
Ajax
1 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 8 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs SC Freiburg (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 80% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.