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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 1 October 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 1 October 2023. Sirius vs Degerfors IF (Sirius over 1.5 goals) sits top on 78% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 59%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius over 1.5 goals 78%
Sirius
3 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis over 1.5 goals 78%
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 1 FT
Kifisia
Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken over 1.5 goals 74%
BK Hacken
2 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV over 1.5 goals 70%
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo over 1.5 goals 68%
Colo Colo
2 : 1 FT
U. Catolica
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 66%
Fenerbahçe
5 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo over 1.5 goals 66%
VVV Venlo
0 : 4 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Nakhon Pathom over 1.5 goals 65%
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 2 FT
Police Tero
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia Krylia Sovetov over 1.5 goals 65%
Krylia Sovetov
4 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor over 1.5 goals 65%
Adana Demirspor
4 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals 65%
Atletico Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC over 1.5 goals 64%
Vitória SC
3 : 2 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 over 1.5 goals 64%
FC Basel 1893
0 : 3 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals 64%
Jagiellonia
2 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 62%
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain Almeria over 1.5 goals 62%
Almeria
3 : 3 FT
Granada CF
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise over 1.5 goals 61%
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 1 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Atlético Ottawa over 1.5 goals 60%
York United
1 : 0 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 goals 60%
SV Darmstadt 98
4 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 21%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom over 1.5 goals 59%
Lillestrom
0 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 1 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sirius vs Degerfors IF (Sirius over 1.5 goals) at 78% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.