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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 3 October 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 3 October 2023. Notts County vs Swindon Town (Notts County over 1.5 goals) led the list at 67% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Notts County over 1.5 goals 67%
Notts County
3 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 20%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%
#2 Championship Β· England Hull City over 1.5 goals 62%
Ipswich
3 : 0 FT
Hull City
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden Landskrona BoIS over 1.5 goals 61%
Landskrona BoIS
2 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Championship Β· England West Brom over 1.5 goals 60%
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 League Two Β· England Stockport County over 1.5 goals 58%
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 League Two Β· England Mansfield Town over 1.5 goals 57%
Mansfield Town
0 : 0 FT
Wrexham
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 6 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 3 October 2023?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Notts County vs Swindon Town (Notts County over 1.5 goals) at 67% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.