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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 22 September 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Friday 22 September 2023. VfB Stuttgart vs SV Darmstadt 98 (VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals) sits top on 86% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals 86%
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr over 1.5 goals 74%
Al-Nassr
4 : 3 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 goals 73%
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 1 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda over 1.5 goals 70%
Roda
4 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht over 1.5 goals 63%
Dordrecht
0 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals 60%
ADO Den Haag
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey İstanbulspor over 1.5 goals 59%
Gaziantep FK
2 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers over 1.5 goals 57%
UCD
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles over 1.5 goals 56%
GO Ahead Eagles
3 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 9 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 22 September 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by VfB Stuttgart vs SV Darmstadt 98 (VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals) at 86% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.