Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability — Thursday 4 May 2023
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
Five fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 4 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Brighton vs Manchester United (Brighton over 1.5 goals) at 71% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
La Liga supplies three of the top 5, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Brighton over 1.5 goals
71%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 goals
62%
La Liga · Spain
Girona over 1.5 goals
59%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping over 1.5 goals
59%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla over 1.5 goals
56%
Showing top 5 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsTeam Over 1.5 Goals — common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 4 May 2023?
five fixtures met the criteria, led by Brighton vs Manchester United (Brighton over 1.5 goals) at 71% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.