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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 18 March 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 18 March 2023. Frosinone vs Cosenza (Frosinone over 1.5 goals) led the list at 79% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone over 1.5 goals 79%
Frosinone
0 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 72%
Hradec Králové
0 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 11%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 70%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 69%
Borussia Dortmund
6 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 League One Β· England Plymouth over 1.5 goals 68%
Plymouth
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens over 1.5 goals 67%
Lens
3 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Lens Clean Sheet 58%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile Union La Calera over 1.5 goals 66%
Union La Calera
0 : 0 FT
A. Italiano
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kasımpaşa over 1.5 goals 65%
Kasımpaşa
1 : 1 FT
Ümraniyespor
Win 48%
Draw 20%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#8 Premier League Β· England Brentford over 1.5 goals 65%
Brentford
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile Cobresal over 1.5 goals 64%
Cobresal
3 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 63%
VfL Bochum
1 : 0 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 62%
Hamburger SV
0 : 0 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr over 1.5 goals 62%
Al-Nassr
2 : 1 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab over 1.5 goals 60%
Al-Raed
2 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 31%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Standard Liege over 1.5 goals 60%
Standard Liege
2 : 2 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa over 1.5 goals 60%
Aston Villa
3 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin over 1.5 goals 59%
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United over 1.5 goals 59%
Buriram United
4 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 53%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş over 1.5 goals 59%
Beşiktaş
3 : 1 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC over 1.5 goals 59%
Sharjah FC
3 : 0 FT
Al Bataeh
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Ajman over 1.5 goals 57%
Ajman
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 40%
Draw 21%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 18 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Frosinone vs Cosenza (Frosinone over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.