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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 12 March 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 12 March 2023. Zenit vs Khimki (Zenit over 1.5 goals) sits top on 81% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit over 1.5 goals 81%
Zenit
3 : 2 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 73%
Heerenveen
2 : 4 FT
Ajax
Win 14%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP over 1.5 goals 71%
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla over 1.5 goals 69%
Sevilla
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 64%
Feyenoord
2 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals 64%
Kryvbas KR
0 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent over 1.5 goals 64%
Zulte Waregem
2 : 6 FT
Gent
Win 27%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica over 1.5 goals 62%
U. Catolica
2 : 2 FT
Union Espanola
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Lorient over 1.5 goals 61%
Lorient
2 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 61%
Volos NFC
0 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 13%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 61%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg over 1.5 goals 60%
Lask Linz
0 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus over 1.5 goals 59%
Juventus
4 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 over 1.5 goals 59%
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg over 1.5 goals 59%
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg over 1.5 goals 59%
SC Freiburg
2 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Premier League Β· England Manchester United over 1.5 goals 58%
Manchester United
0 : 0 FT
Southampton
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 58%
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RWDM over 1.5 goals 57%
RWDM
3 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk over 1.5 goals 56%
Genk
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille over 1.5 goals 56%
Marseille
2 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 12 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs Khimki (Zenit over 1.5 goals) at 81% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.