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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 1 January 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Sunday 1 January 2023. Nantes vs Auxerre (Nantes over 1.5 goals) sits top on 69% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 14%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Nantes over 1.5 goals 69%
Nantes
1 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Premier League Β· England Tottenham over 1.5 goals 69%
Tottenham
0 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 League Two Β· England Carlisle over 1.5 goals 59%
Doncaster
2 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 League Two Β· England Stockport County over 1.5 goals 58%
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Stockport County
Win 18%
Draw 22%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco over 1.5 goals 57%
Monaco
1 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 League One Β· England Oxford United over 1.5 goals 57%
Oxford United
0 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France Lorient over 1.5 goals 56%
Angers
1 : 2 FT
Lorient
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 7 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 1 January 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Nantes vs Auxerre (Nantes over 1.5 goals) at 69% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.