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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 18 September 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 18 September 2022. Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Orenburg (Nizhny Novgorod over 1.5 goals) sits top on 86% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 60%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia Nizhny Novgorod over 1.5 goals 86%
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 2 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 77%
Benfica
5 : 0 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia FC Sochi over 1.5 goals 75%
FC Sochi
1 : 1 FT
Fakel
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Köln over 1.5 goals 73%
VfL Bochum
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 13%
Draw 16%
Win 71%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Valerenga over 1.5 goals 70%
Valerenga
4 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF over 1.5 goals 70%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4 : 3 FT
jerv
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles over 1.5 goals 69%
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 68%
Lyon
0 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 23%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 70%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 67%
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 1 FT
Haugesund
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde over 1.5 goals 67%
Molde
3 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 67%
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 20%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm over 1.5 goals 66%
AIK Stockholm
1 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg over 1.5 goals 66%
IF Elfsborg
3 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals 65%
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 FT
Lokomotiv
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain Osasuna over 1.5 goals 64%
Osasuna
0 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF over 1.5 goals 63%
Mjallby AIF
1 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals 60%
Warta Poznań
0 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir over 1.5 goals 60%
Başakşehir
0 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg over 1.5 goals 60%
Rosenborg
3 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway Stromsgodset over 1.5 goals 60%
Stromsgodset
4 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 18 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Orenburg (Nizhny Novgorod over 1.5 goals) at 86% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.